Tiny Nick’s Gambling Picks 11/14

NCAA Football (0.75 Unit) Cam Cook Over 105.5 Rushing Yards (-110; Odds via Fanduel): 2:30 PM CT on ESPN2 I have a strong suspicion this Kansas/West Virginia game goes over the big total of 68.5 points, just because that’s how Mountaineers games go. But if it’s going to get there, lots of yards will probably have to come from Cook, the country’s 9th-leading rusher. Cook thrives in this system and is why Rich Rodriguez brought him along as they moved from Jacksonville State for this season.

The Details

He’s averaging 119.1 yards per game, and has had some massive games against weak run defenses like he’ll see here. Kansas ranks 94th in rushing yards allowed per game, but it gets horrific on the road as they’re giving up 231.0 which is 125th nationally. There should be plenty of opportunity here against a weak opponent, so I like Cook to run wild and clear this total for a 7th time this year.

NCAA Football (0.75 Unit) FAU/Tulsa Over 72.5 (-110; Odds via Caesars): 6:15 PM CT on ESPN+ If you want to take the under in a Florida Atlantic game, be my guest. This offense in Zach Kittley’s system is absolutely locked in, while the defense can’t stop anything, which is why they’re tied for the best over record nationally at 8-1, beating the total by 12.

4 points on average. Their past 4 games against FBS opponents have gone for 80, 100, 89, and 89 points, which is a wild stretch that books simply can’t adjust for. So what’s going to happen against a Tulsa team that just put up 60 themselves last week and has the weapons to go shot-for-shot with the Owls? My bet is another game in the 80’s or higher, so just sit back and watch the fireworks.

NBA (1 Unit) Chicago Bulls @ Minnesota Timberwolves -14.5 (-110; Odds via Caesars): 7:00 PM CT on DAZN-MIN Even though this is a dramatic shift in their market valuation, the Wolves might just be this good. Minnesota has only been a double-digit favorite twice, and this is the biggest number they’ve laid, but they covered those other two games as big favorites against bad teams. It’s fair to say that the Wolves are simply misunderstood and/or underappreciated, which shows in their 11-1 ATS record with a plus-11.8 average ATS margin.

I think they can deliver another blowout here against a bad Bulls team, even though Chicago has had the appearance of playing better lately. Holding a big lead over the Spurs and getting an OT win last night over Atlanta are positive signs, but this is still a bad team going nowhere. And the Bulls only snuck out last night’s game thanks to the Hawks going 8-for-40 from deep, so good luck getting that kind of break against the hot-shooting Wolves here. The tired Bulls, faced with travel disruptions, are no match for a rested Wolves team and I think it’s a blowout at Target Center tonight.

Bonus Bet (0.75 Unit) Ayo Dosunmu Over 18.5 Points (+100; Odds via Fanduel)

It’s a revenge game for Ayo here as the former Bull faces his old team for the first time. I think the Wolves will let him go off, and probably help him get whatever he wants in this game. He certainly has the talent to torch the worst scoring defense in the league, and his trendline is extremely positive. In the 8 games since getting his big minutes increase, Dosunmu has averaged 21.1 PPG on 53.3% shooting, so it’s all right there for him to dominate his former squad.

NBA (1 Unit) Duncan Robinson Over 3.5 Made Three’s (-110; Odds via Fanduel): 7:00 PM CT on League Pass Miami has won 4 of 5 and finally had a good game out of Giannis and Bam last night as they took down the Cavaliers. Cool, wake me up when they can guard the perimeter. Until then, opposing three-point specialists are automatic plays, and we get the extra revenge angle with this one tonight.

Robinson has already cooked his former team for 5 triples in the second game of the year, now he gets them again with the Heat on no rest so that perimeter defense might be even worse. Robinson is 3rd in the league for three’s made per game, and is taking the 8th-most attempts per game, so his volume and motivation against the team still allowing by far the most makes per game is a no-brainer.

No degenerates today. — Past 7 days Tiny Tracker: 28-42 (-7.45 Units) – Recommend: Fade Tiny Nick has been writing betting picks for Zone Coverage since 2020. Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are what he’s most confident in, while Degenerates are entertaining but riskier picks.

Nick Hamaty

Nick Hamaty, an Iowa State graduate, specializes in sports betting and the Minnesota Twins. He is also a huge fan of Tony Romo and NAV.